Predictors of severe intracerebral hemorrhage expansion.

BACKGROUND: Severe hematoma expansion (sHE) has the strongest impact on intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) outcome. We investigated the predictors of sHE. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of ICH patients admitted at nine sites in Italy, Germany, China, and Canada. The following imaging features were analyzed: non-contrast CT (NCCT) hypodensities, heterogeneous density, blend sign, irregular shape, and CT angiography (CTA) spot sign. The outcome of interest was sHE, defined as volume increase >66% and/or >12.5 from baseline to follow-up NCCT. Predictors of sHE were explored with logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 1472 patients were included (median age 73, 56.6% males) of whom 223 (15.2%) had sHE. Age (odds ratio (OR) per year, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02 (1.01-1.04)), Anticoagulant treatment (OR 3.00, 95% CI 2.09-4.31), Glasgow Coma Scale (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.98), time from onset/last known well to imaging, (OR per h 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99), and baseline ICH volume, (OR per mL 1.02, 95% CI 1.02-1.03) were independently associated with sHE. Ultra-early hematoma growth (baseline volume/baseline imaging time) was also a predictor of sHE (OR per mL/h 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02). All NCCT and CTA imaging markers were also predictors of sHE. Amongst imaging features NCCT hypodensities had the highest sensitivity (0.79) whereas the CTA spot sign had the highest positive predictive value (0.51). CONCLUSIONS: sHE is common in the natural history of ICH and can be predicted with few clinical and imaging variables. These findings might inform clinical practice and future trials targeting active bleeding in ICH.

The role of stroke-induced immunosuppression as a predictor of functional outcome in the neurorehabilitation setting.

Stroke affects the interconnection between the nervous and immune systems, leading to a down-regulation of immunity called stroke-induced immunosuppression (SII). The primary aim of this study is to investigate SII role as a predictor of functional, neurological, and motor outcomes in the neurorehabilitation setting (NRB). We conducted a prospective observational study enrolling post-acute stroke patients hospitalized for neurorehabilitation. At NRB admission (T0) and discharge (T1), we assessed presence of SII (defined by a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥ 5) and we evaluated functional independence (Functional Independence Measure-FIM, Barthel Index-BI), motor performances (Tinetti Score, Hauser Ambulation Index) and neurological impairment (NIHSS). We enrolled 96 patients (45.8% females, 70.6 ± 13.9 years, 88.5% ischemic stroke). At T0, 15.6% of patients (15/96) had SII. When compared to immunocompetent patients (IC), the SII group was characterized by worse baseline functional independence, motor performances and neurological disability. The same was confirmed at T1 (FIM p = 0.012, BI p = 0.007, Tinetti p = 0.034, NIHSS p = 0.001). Neurological disability demonstrated a less pronounced improvement in SII (ΔNIHSS: SII: - 2.1 ± 2.3 vs. IC: - 3.1 ± 2.5, p = 0.035). SII group presented a higher percentage of infectious complications during the neurorehabilitation period (SII 80% vs. IC 25.9%; p = 0.001). SII may represent a negative prognostic factor in the neurorehabilitation setting. SII patients were characterized by poorer functional, motor, neurological performances and higher risk of infectious complications. ClinicaTrial registration: NCT05889169.

Arterial hypertension in the chronic evolution of migraine: bystander or risk factor? An overview.

BACKGROUND: Several risk factors are associated with the chronic evolution of migraine. Clinical and preclinical studies have provided data about the role of hypertension (HT) as one of the potential modifiable risk factors of chronic migraine (CM). This review is focused on the biological and clinical evidence supporting common mechanisms underlying HT and migraine and the potential role of HT in the transition from episodic to chronic migraine. METHODS: We conducted a narrative review from a literature search covering the available evidence from studies investigating: i) the role of HT in the transition to CM in clinical practice; ii) the biological mechanisms potentially underpinning the association between HT and evolution to CM; iii) the role of antihypertensive medications in migraine prophylaxis. RESULTS: HT proved to be at the base of multiple mechanisms underlying migraine and migraine chronicization. Endothelial dysfunction, blood-brain barrier alterations, calcitonin gene-related peptide signaling, and renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system dysregulation are involved in the worsening effect of HT on migraine frequency, and the role of HT in the transition to CM is supported by clinical observations. CONCLUSIONS: The observed evidence supports HT contribution to CM evolution due to shared pathophysiologic mechanisms. While a bidirectional influence appears to be ascertained, data are still lacking about the one-way role of HT as direct risk factor for CM transition. Further research is needed to confirm a causal role of HT in this process.

Functional outcome improvement from 3 to 12 months after intracerebral hemorrhage.

INTRODUCTION: Most intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials assessed outcome at 3 months but the recovery trajectory of ICH survivors may continue up to 1 year after the index event. We aimed to describe the predictors of functional outcome improvement from 3 to 12 months after ICH. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients admitted to six European Stroke Centers for supratentorial ICH. Functional outcome was measured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 and 12 months. Predictors of functional outcome improvement were explored with binary logistic regression. RESULTS: We included 703 patients, of whom 245 (34.9%) died within 3 months. Among survivors, 131 (28.6%) had an mRS improvement, 78 (17.0%) had a worse mRS and 249 (54.4%) had a stable functional status at 12 months. Older age and the presence of baseline disability (defined as pre-stroke mRS > 1), were associated with lower odds of functional outcome improvement (Odds Ratio (OR) 0.98 per year increase, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.96-1.00, p = 0.017 and OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.25-0.81, p = 0.008 respectively). Conversely, deep ICH location increased the probability of long term mRS improvement (OR 1.67, 95% CI, 1.07-2.61, p = 0.023). Patients with mild-moderate disability at 3 months (mRS 2-3) had the highest odds of improvement at 12 months (OR 8.76, 95% CI 3.68-20.86, p < 0.001). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Long term recovery is common after ICH and associated with age, baseline functional status, mRS at 3 months and hematoma location. Our findings might inform future trials and improve long-term prognostication in clinical practice.

Effect of General Anesthesia Versus Conscious Sedation/Local Anesthesia on the Outcome of Patients with Minor Stroke and Isolated M2 Occlusion Undergoing Immediate Thrombectomy: A Retrospective Multicenter Matched Analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the impact of general anesthesia (GA) versus conscious sedation/local anesthesia (CS/LA) on the outcome of patients with minor stroke and isolated M2 occlusion undergoing immediate mechanical thrombectomy (iMT). METHODS: The databases of 16 comprehensive stroke centers were retrospectively screened for consecutive patients with isolated M2 occlusion and a baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤5 who received iMT. Propensity score matching was used to estimate the effect of GA versus CS/LA on clinical outcomes and procedure-related adverse events. The primary outcome measure was a 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-1. Secondary outcome measures were a 90-day mRS score of 0-2 and all-cause mortality, successful reperfusion, procedural-related symptomatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, intraprocedural dissections, and new territory embolism. RESULTS: Of the 172 patients who were selected, 55 received GA and 117 CS/LA. After propensity score matching, 47 pairs of patients were available for analysis. We found no significant differences in clinical outcome, rates of efficient reperfusion, and procedural-related complications between patients receiving GA or LA/CS (mRS score 0-1, P = 0.815; mRS score 0-2, P = 0.401; all-cause mortality, P = 0.408; modified Treatment in Cerebral Infarction score 2b-3, P = 0.374; symptomatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, P = 0.082; intraprocedural dissection, P = 0.408; new territory embolism, P = 0.462). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with minor stroke and isolated M2 occlusion undergoing iMT, the type of anesthesia does not affect clinical outcome or the rate of procedural-related complications. Our results agree with recent data showing no benefit of one specific anesthesiologic procedure over the other and confirm their generalizability also to patients with minor baseline symptoms.

Predictors and Prognostic Impact of Hematoma Expansion in Infratentorial Cerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Hematoma expansion (HE) is common and predicts poor outcome in patients with supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigated the predictors and prognostic impact of HE in infratentorial ICH. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with brainstem and cerebellar ICH admitted at seven sites. Noncontrast computed tomography images were analyzed for the presence of hypodensities according to validated criteria, defined as any hypodense region strictly encapsulated within the hemorrhage with any shape, size, and density. Occurrence of HE (defined as > 33% and/or > 6-mL growth) and mortality at 90 days were the outcomes of interest. Their predictors were investigated using logistic regression with backward elimination at p < 0.1. Logistic regression models for HE were adjusted for baseline ICH volume, antiplatelet and anticoagulant treatment, onset to computed tomography time, and presence of hypodensities. The logistic regression model for mortality accounted for the ICH score and HE. RESULTS: A total of 175 patients were included (median age 75 years, 40.0% male), of whom 38 (21.7%) had HE and 43 (24.6%) died within 90 days. Study participants with HE had a higher frequency of hypodensities (44.7 vs. 24.1%, p = 0.013), presentation within 3 h from onset (39.5 vs. 24.8%, p = 0.029), and 90-day mortality (44.7 vs. 19.0%, p = 0.001). Hypodensities remained independently associated with HE after adjustment for confounders (odds ratio 2.44, 95% confidence interval 1.13-5.25, p = 0.023). The association between HE and mortality remained significant in logistic regression (odds ratio 3.68, 95% confidence interval 1.65-8.23, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Early presentation and presence of noncontrast computed tomography hypodensities were independent predictors of HE in infratentorial ICH, and the occurrence of HE had an independent prognostic impact in this population.

Association Between Hematoma Expansion Severity and Outcome and Its Interaction With Baseline Intracerebral Hemorrhage Volume.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Hematoma expansion (HE) is a major determinant of neurologic deterioration and poor outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and represents an appealing therapeutic target. We analyzed the prognostic effect of different degrees of HE. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of patients with ICH admitted at 8 academic institutions in Italy, Germany, Canada, China, and the United States. All patients underwent baseline and follow-up imaging for HE assessment. Relative HE (rHE) was classified as follows: none (<0%), mild (0%-33%), moderate (33.1%-66%), and severe (>66%). Absolute HE (aHE) was classified as none (<0 mL), mild (0-6.0 mL), moderate (6.1-12.5 mL), and severe (>12.5 mL). Predictors of poor functional outcome (90 days modified Rankin Scale 4-6) were explored with logistic regression. RESULTS: We included 2,163 patients, of whom 1,211 (56.0%) had poor outcome. The occurrence of severe aHE or rHE was more common in patients with unfavorable outcome (13.9% vs 6.5%, p < 0.001 and 18.3% vs 7.2%, p < 0.001 respectively). This association was confirmed in logistic regression (rHE odds ratio [OR] 1.98, 95% CI 1.38-2.82, p < 0.001; aHE OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.23-2.45, p = 0.002) while there was no association between mild or moderate HE and poor outcome. The association between severe HE and poor outcome was significant only in patients with baseline ICH volume below 30 mL. DISCUSSION: The strongest association between HE and outcome was observed in patients with smaller initial volume experiencing severe HE. These findings may inform clinical trial design and guide clinicians in selecting patients for antiexpansion therapies.

IV thrombolysis plus thrombectomy versus IV thrombolysis alone for minor stroke with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion from the IRETAS and Italian SITS-ISTR cohorts.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes of patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) <4.5 h after symptom onset plus mechanical thrombectomy (MT) <6 h with those treated with IVT alone <4.5 h for minor stroke (NIHSS ≤5) with large vessel occlusion (LVO) in the anterior circulation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients enrolled in the Italian Registry of Endovascular Treatment in Acute Stroke (IRETAS) and in the Italian centers included in the SITS-ISTR were analyzed. RESULTS: Among the patients with complete data on 24-h ICH type, 236 received IVT plus MT and 382 received IVT alone. IVT plus MT was significantly associated with unfavorable shift on 24-h ICH types (from no ICH to PH-2) (OR, 2.130; 95% CI, 1.173-3.868; p=0.013) and higher rate of PH (OR, 4.363; 95% CI, 1.579-12.055; p=0.005), sICH per ECASS II definition (OR, 5.527; 95% CI, 1.378-22.167; p=0.016), and sICH per NINDS definition (OR, 3.805; 95% CI, 1.310-11.046; p=0.014). Among the patients with complete data on 3-month mRS score, 226 received IVT plus MT and 262 received IVT alone. No significant difference was reported between IVT plus MT and IVT alone on mRS score 0-1 (72.1% versus 69.1%), mRS score 0-2 (79.6% versus 79%), and death (6.2% versus 6.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with IVT alone, IVT plus MT was associated with unfavorable shift on 24-h ICH types and higher rate of 24-h PH and sICH in patients with minor stroke and LVO in the anterior circulation. However, no difference was reported between the groups on 3-month functional outcome measures.

External Validation and Retraining of DeepBleed: The First Open-Source 3D Deep Learning Network for the Segmentation of Spontaneous Intracerebral and Intraventricular Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess the performance of the first publicly available automated 3D segmentation for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) based on a 3D neural network before and after retraining. METHODS: We performed an independent validation of this model using a multicenter retrospective cohort. Performance metrics were evaluated using the dice score (DSC), sensitivity, and positive predictive values (PPV). We retrained the original model (OM) and assessed the performance via an external validation design. A multivariate linear regression model was used to identify independent variables associated with the model's performance. Agreements in volumetric measurements and segmentation were evaluated using Pearson's correlation coefficients (r) and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC), respectively. With 1040 patients, the OM had a median DSC, sensitivity, and PPV of 0.84, 0.79, and 0.93, compared to thoseo f 0.83, 0.80, and 0.91 in the retrained model (RM). However, the median DSC for infratentorial ICH was relatively low and improved significantly after retraining, at p < 0.001. ICH volume and location were significantly associated with the DSC, at p < 0.05. The agreement between volumetric measurements (r > 0.90, p > 0.05) and segmentations (ICC ≥ 0.9, p < 0.001) was excellent. CONCLUSION: The model demonstrated good generalization in an external validation cohort. Location-specific variances improved significantly after retraining. External validation and retraining are important steps to consider before applying deep learning models in new clinical settings.

Predictors for hemorrhagic transformation and cerebral edema in stroke patients with first-pass complete recanalization.

BACKGROUND: Predictors of radiological complications attributable to reperfusion injury remain unknown when baseline setting is optimal for endovascular treatment and procedural setting is the best in stroke patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO). AIMS: To identify clinical and radiological/procedural predictors for hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and cerebral edema (CED) at 24 hr in patients obtaining complete recanalization in one pass of thrombectomy for ischemic stroke ⩽ 6 h from symptom onset with intra-cranial anterior circulation LVO and ASPECTS ⩾ 6. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study on prospectively collected data from 1400 patients enrolled in the Italian Registry of Endovascular Treatment in Acute Stroke. RESULTS: HT was reported in 248 (18%) patients and early CED was reported in 260 (19.2%) patients. In the logistic regression model including predictors from a first model with clinical variables and from a second model with radiological/procedural variables, diabetes mellitus (odds ratio (OR) = 1.832, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.201-2.795), higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) (OR = 1.076, 95% CI = 1.044-1.110), lower Alberta Stroke Program Early CT (ASPECTS) (OR = 0.815, 95% CI = 0.694-0.957), and longer onset-to-groin time (OR = 1.005, 95% CI = 1.002-1.007) were predictors of HT, whereas general anesthesia was inversely associated with HT (OR = 0.540, 95% CI = 0.355-0.820). Higher NIHSS (OR = 1.049, 95% CI = 1.021-1.077), lower ASPECTS (OR = 0.700, 95% CI = 0.613-0.801), intravenous thrombolysis (OR = 1.464, 95% CI = 1.061-2.020), longer onset-to-groin time (OR = 1.002, 95% CI = 1.001-1.005), and longer procedure time (OR = 1.009, 95% CI = 1.004-1.015) were predictors of early CED. After repeating a fourth logistic regression model including also good collaterals, the same variables remained predictors for HT and/or early CED, except diabetes mellitus and thrombolysis, while good collaterals were inversely associated with early CED (OR = 0.385, 95% CI = 0.248-0.599). CONCLUSIONS: Higher NIHSS, lower ASPECTS, and longer onset-to-groin time were predictors for both HT and early CED. General anesthesia and good collaterals were inversely associated with HT and early CED, respectively. Longer procedure time was predictor of early CED.

Non-contrast computed tomography features predict intraventricular hemorrhage growth.

OBJECTIVES: Non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers are robust predictors of parenchymal hematoma expansion in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigated whether NCCT features can also identify ICH patients at risk of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) growth. METHODS: Patients with acute spontaneous ICH admitted at four tertiary centers in Germany and Italy were retrospectively included from January 2017 to June 2020. NCCT markers were rated by two investigators for heterogeneous density, hypodensity, black hole sign, swirl sign, blend sign, fluid level, island sign, satellite sign, and irregular shape. ICH and IVH volumes were semi-manually segmented. IVH growth was defined as IVH expansion > 1 mL (eIVH) or any delayed IVH (dIVH) on follow-up imaging. Predictors of eIVH and dIVH were explored with multivariable logistic regression. Hypothesized moderators and mediators were independently assessed in PROCESS macro models. RESULTS: A total of 731 patients were included, of whom 185 (25.31%) suffered from IVH growth, 130 (17.78%) had eIVH, and 55 (7.52%) had dIVH. Irregular shape was significantly associated with IVH growth (OR 1.68; 95%CI [1.16-2.44]; p = 0.006). In the subgroup analysis stratified by the IVH growth type, hypodensities were significantly associated with eIVH (OR 2.06; 95%CI [1.48-2.64]; p = 0.015), whereas irregular shape (OR 2.72; 95%CI [1.91-3.53]; p = 0.016) in dIVH. The association between NCCT markers and IVH growth was not mediated by parenchymal hematoma expansion. CONCLUSIONS: NCCT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of IVH growth. Our findings suggest the possibility to stratify the risk of IVH growth with baseline NCCT and might inform ongoing and future studies. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Non-contrast CT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of intraventricular hemorrhage growth with subtype-specific differences. Our findings may assist in the risk stratification of intraventricular hemorrhage growth with baseline CT and might inform ongoing and future clinical studies. KEY POINTS: • NCCT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of IVH growth with subtype-specific differences. • The effect of NCCT features was not moderated by time and location or indirectly mediated by hematoma expansion. • Our findings may assist in the risk stratification of IVH growth with baseline NCCT and might inform ongoing and future studies.

Quantification and prospective evaluation of serum NfL and GFAP as blood-derived biomarkers of outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients.

Identification of reliable and accessible biomarkers to characterize ischemic stroke patients' prognosis remains a clinical challenge. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are markers of brain injury, detectable in blood by high-sensitive technologies. Our aim was to measure serum NfL and GFAP after stroke, and to evaluate their correlation with functional outcome and the scores in rehabilitation scales at 3-month follow-up. Stroke patients were prospectively enrolled in a longitudinal observational study within 24 hours from symptom onset (D1) and monitored after 7 (D7), 30 ± 3 (M1) and 90 ± 5 (M3) days. At each time-point serum NfL and GFAP levels were measured by Single Molecule Array and correlated with National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), modified Rankin scale (mRS), Trunk Control Test (TCT), Functional Ambulation Classification (FAC) and Functional Independence Measure (FIM) scores. Serum NfL and GFAP showed different temporal profiles: NfL increased after stroke with a peak value at D7; GFAP showed an earlier peak at D1. NfL and GFAP concentrations correlated with clinical/rehabilitation outcomes both longitudinally and prospectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that NfL-D7 and GFAP-D1 were independent predictors of 3-month NIHSS, TCT, FAC and FIM scores, with NfL being the biomarker with the best predictive performance.

Intracranial carotid artery calcification morphology differs in patients with lacunar and nonlacunar acute ischemic strokes.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Intracranial carotid artery calcifications (ICACs) are a common finding on noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) and have been associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. However, no data are available about the association between ICAC patterns and stroke etiology. We investigated the association between ICAC patterns and etiological subtypes of ischemic stroke. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed a single center cohort of patients admitted for ischemic stroke with known etiology. Each carotid artery was evaluated separately on NCCT scans to define the ICAC pattern (intimal, medial, mixed). The association between ICAC patterns and stroke etiology was investigated using logistic regression models adjusting for relevant confounders. RESULTS: A total of 485 patients were included (median age = 78 [interquartile range (IQR) = 70-85] years, 243 [50%] female, median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale = 6 [IQR = 3-12]). Frequencies of ICAC patterns were: intimal, n = 96 (20%); medial, n = 273 (56%); mixed, n = 51 (11%), indistinct/absent, n = 65 (13%) patients. Intimal pattern was more frequent in lacunar compared with nonlacunar (33% vs. 16%, p < 0.001) stroke etiology, whereas medial pattern was less frequent in lacunar compared with nonlacunar stroke (36% vs. 62%, p < 0.001). After adjustment for confounders, intimal ICAC predominant pattern remained associated with lacunar stroke etiology in two multivariate models (Model 1: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.20-3.56; Model 2: aOR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.16-3.46). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that intimal ICAC pattern is associated with lacunar stroke and may serve as a marker for lacunar stroke etiology, possibly strengthening the relation between endothelial dysfunction and lacunar stroke.

Using Noncontrast Computed Tomography to Improve Prediction of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Expansion.

BACKGROUND: Noncontrast computed tomography hypodensities are a validated predictor of hematoma expansion (HE) in intracerebral hemorrhage and a possible alternative to the computed tomography angiography (CTA) spot sign but their added value to available prediction models remains unclear. We investigated whether the inclusion of hypodensities improves prediction of HE and compared their added value over the spot sign. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients admitted for primary spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage at the following 8 university hospitals in Boston, US (1994-2015, prospective), Hamilton, Canada (2010-2016, retrospective), Berlin, Germany (2014-2019, retrospective), Chongqing, China (2011-2015, retrospective), Pavia, Italy (2017-2019, prospective), Ferrara, Italy (2010-2019, retrospective), Brescia, Italy (2020-2021, retrospective), and Bologna, Italy (2015-2019, retrospective). Predictors of HE (hematoma growth >6 mL and/or >33% from baseline to follow-up imaging) were explored with logistic regression. We compared the discrimination of a simple prediction model for HE based on 4 predictors (antitplatelet and anticoagulant treatment, baseline intracerebral hemorrhage volume, and onset-to-imaging time) before and after the inclusion of noncontrast computed tomography hypodensities, using receiver operating characteristic curve and De Long test for area under the curve comparison. RESULTS: A total of 2465 subjects were included, of whom 664 (26.9%) had HE and 1085 (44.0%) had hypodensities. Hypodensities were independently associated with HE after adjustment for confounders in logistic regression (odds ratio, 3.11 [95% CI, 2.55-3.80]; P<0.001). The inclusion of noncontrast computed tomography hypodensities improved the discrimination of the 4 predictors model (area under the curve, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.64-0.69] versus 0.71 [95% CI, 0.69-0.74]; P=0.025). In the subgroup of patients with a CTA available (n=895, 36.3%), the added value of hypodensities remained statistically significant (area under the curve, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.64-0.73] versus 0.74 [95% CI, 0.70-0.78]; P=0.041) whereas the addition of the CTA spot sign did not provide significant discrimination improvement (area under the curve, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.70-0.78]). CONCLUSIONS: Noncontrast computed tomography hypodensities provided a significant added value in the prediction of HE and appear a valuable alternative to the CTA spot sign. Our findings might inform future studies and suggest the possibility to stratify the risk of HE with good discrimination without CTA.

Non-contrast CT markers of intracerebral hemorrhage expansion: The influence of onset-to-CT time.

BACKGROUND: Hematoma expansion (HE) is an appealing therapeutic target in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) features are promising predictors of HE. AIMS: We investigated whether onset-to-CT time influences the diagnostic performance of NCCT markers for HE. METHODS: Retrospective multicentre analysis of patients with primary ICH. The following NCCT markers were analyzed: hypodensities, heterogeneous density, blend sign, and irregular shape. HE was defined as growth ⩾6 mL and/or ⩾33%. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values (PPVs and NPVs) of NCCT markers for HE, stratified by onset-to-CT time (<2 h, 2-4 h, 4-6 h, >6 h). RESULTS: We included 1135 patients (median age 69, 53% males), of whom 307 (27%) experienced HE.Overall hypodensities had the highest sensitivity (0.68) and blend sign the highest specificity (0.87) for HE. Hypodensities were more common and had higher sensitivity (0.80) in patients with imaging within 2 h. The same result was observed for heterogeneous density, whereas irregular shape had a similar prevalence across time strata and higher sensitivity (0.79) beyond 6 h from onset. The frequency of blend sign increased with longer onset-to-CT time, whereas its specificity declined after 6 h from onset. CONCLUSION: The diagnostic performance of NCCT markers is influenced by imaging time. Hypodensities identified four out of five patients with HE within 2 h from onset, whereas irregular shape performed better in late presenters. Our findings may improve the use of NCCT markers in future studies and trials targeting HE.

Diagnostic Accuracy and Reliability of Noncontrast Computed Tomography Markers for Acute Hematoma Expansion among Radiologists.

BACKGROUND: Noncontrast Computed Tomography (NCCT) features are promising markers for acute hematoma expansion (HE) in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). It remains unclear whether accurate identification of these markers is also reliable in raters with different levels of experience. METHODS: Patients with acute spontaneous ICH admitted at four tertiary centers in Germany and Italy were retrospectively included from January 2017 to June 2020. In total, nine NCCT markers were rated by one radiology resident, one radiology fellow, and one neuroradiology fellow with different levels experience in ICH imaging. Interrater reliabilities of the resident and radiology fellow were evaluated by calculated Cohen's kappa (κ) statistics in reference to the neuroradiology fellow who was referred as the gold standard. Gold-standard ratings were evaluated by calculated interrater κ statistics. Global interrater reliabilities were evaluated by calculated Fleiss kappa statistics across all three readers. A comparison of receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) was used to evaluate differences in the diagnostic accuracy for predicting acute hematoma expansion (HE) among the raters. RESULTS: Substantial-to-almost-perfect interrater concordance was found for the resident with interrater Cohen's kappa from 0.70 (95% CI 0.65-0.81) to 0.96 (95% CI 0.94-0.98). The interrater Cohen's kappa for the radiology fellow was moderate to almost perfect and ranged from 0.58 (95% CI 0.52-0.65) to 94 (95% CI 92-0.97). The intrarater gold-standard Cohen's kappa was almost perfect and ranged from 0.79 (95% CI 0.78-0.90) to 0.98 (95% CI 0.78-0.90). The global interrater Fleiss kappa ranged from 0.62 (95%CI 0.57-0.66) to 0.93 (95%CI 0.89-0.97). The diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of acute hematoma expansion (HE) was different for the island sign and fluid sign, with p-values < 0.05. CONCLUSION: The NCCT markers had a substantial-to-almost-perfect interrater agreement among raters with different levels of experience. Differences in the diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of acute HE were found in two out of nine NCCT markers. The study highlights the promising utility of NCCT markers for acute HE prediction.